The year’s strong performance of most gold stocks has left newcomers wondering what to buy, says money manager Adrian Day. In such circumstances, he believes investors are better off paying up for quality than looking for something “cheap” down the food chain. Day reviews two favorite gold companies, one large, one small, that he says give broad exposure to the sector.
Franco-Nevada Corp. (FNV:TSX; FNV:NYSE 71.68) is the bluest of blue-chip gold companies, an originator of the royalty model for the gold industry. Royalties, and their cousin streams, provide exposure to gold mining without the high costs and risks of mining, but with leverage and dividends, unlike bullion. They are my favorite way to invest in the sector for more conservative and longer-term investors, though no one would confuse the leading royalty companies with “Graham and Dodd”-type value investments.
Record revenues
Franco continues to perform well, with record ounces and revenues (up 38%) in its latest quarter, only partly due to the addition of two major streams, from Antamina and Antapaccay copper mines. The balance sheet remains very strong, with debt taken on last year for stream acquisitions now paid off; there is $226 million cash plus $1 billion in available credit lines.
Currently about 94% of the company’s revenues come from precious metals (of which 72% is gold). Its large portfolio has seen increased exploration activities as the price of gold has recovered.
But is it cheap?
One could argue that Franco is trading at its fair value, and as large existing holders we would wait for better prices before adding to positions. However, Franco has a habit of providing consistent growth, with fair value constantly increasing. Yes, Franco (they said) was overvalued at $40 in mid-2015 and at $30 in 2011 and at $20 in …read more