October 14, 2018 There has been quite a bit of information and opinion in the news recently regarding the recent downside price action in the US Equities markets.  We’ve seen everything from “The sky is falling” to “The markets will rally into the end of the year”.  If you’ve been following our research and analysis, you already know what we believe will be the likely outcome and if not – keep reading. There are a number of key components of the global economy that are of interest currently; US Treasuries, Precious Metals, Emerging Markets, the European Union, Trade Issues and Capital Shifts. When one considers the scope of the entire global market environment in terms of these individual issues, a fairly clear picture of what is really happening begins to take shape.  Here is our summarized opinion of the current state of the global markets. Capital is shifting (again) as the US Technology and high return sectors come under pressure.  What happens, typically, in this type of environment is that capital moves away from risk (into cash or other suitable investments) as these sectors continue to weaken.  Capital will return to these sectors once the risk factor diminishes or abates.  Once the S&P fell below the 2915 level, a number of Sell Programs generated extensive downside pressure on the markets – in a way, creating a “wash-out low” price rotation fairly early in this move.  Investors and capital will return into these sectors over time as they find support and … Continue reading →