February 1, 2019 We recently closed our GDXJ trade for a 10.5% total profit with our members. We are preparing for a lower price rotation over the next 45+ days that will allow us to plan for new long. Our research indicates the metals/miners should enter a downside price rotation over the next 45+ days as the US stock markets continue to rally. Give this expectation, it is important to understand how we are timing this move for our members and attempting to take advantage of strategic trade deployment. With Gold recently breaking above $1300, many analysts have been calling for a continued breakout move to the upside as well as a massive market correction in the US stock market. We’ve been calling for just the opposite to happen – a pause in the metals/miners near this $1300~1320 level. If our analysis is correct, a renewed capital shift will continue to unfold over the next 30~45 days where foreign capital will move into the US stock market (including technology, financial, medical/biotech, blue chips, mid-caps, and others) as global investors chase the safety and returns of the US Dollar and the US stock market. This process of deploying capital into the US stock market will relieve upside pressure in the metals/miners for a brief period of time – resulting in a price pullback. Our expectations are that the GDXJ price will rotate back below $31 and likely target a support level near $30.50~30.65. This is near where we intend to look … Continue reading
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SILVER STARTS A BREAKOUT MOVE HIGHER December 31, 2018 Watch Silver, folks. This quiet shiny metal is starting a move that could be very foretelling of global market concerns and risks. Early on December 26, 2018, Silver broke through recent resistance, to the upside, with a relatively large 2.8%+ upside move. Why is this so important to traders? Because Silver is the “sleeper metal” that is typically the last to react to global economic concerns. Once Silver starts to move to the upside with a renewed bullish trend, we believe this move would indicate that bigger players are starting to accumulate Silver as a safe haven for future economic concerns/crisis events. This Daily chart of Silver shows the December 26 upside breakout move. We can clearly see the breakout above $15.00 and the historical resistance just below $15.00. This move is extremely important in the context of the total risk play that has recently played out through the past two months. Take a look as how quiet the Silver market has been over the past few months. Take a look at how Silver reacted only moderately to the recent market selloff and Fed statements. There was no real “fear” exhibited in the metals markets or in Silver over the past 60+ days. Yet, today, there is some real fear that is playing out in the price of Silver. This next Weekly Silver chart helps us to understand the total scope of this move and what we could expect to see … Continue reading
October 14, 2018 There has been quite a bit of information and opinion in the news recently regarding the recent downside price action in the US Equities markets. We’ve seen everything from “The sky is falling” to “The markets will rally into the end of the year”. If you’ve been following our research and analysis, you already know what we believe will be the likely outcome and if not – keep reading. There are a number of key components of the global economy that are of interest currently; US Treasuries, Precious Metals, Emerging Markets, the European Union, Trade Issues and Capital Shifts. When one considers the scope of the entire global market environment in terms of these individual issues, a fairly clear picture of what is really happening begins to take shape. Here is our summarized opinion of the current state of the global markets. Capital is shifting (again) as the US Technology and high return sectors come under pressure. What happens, typically, in this type of environment is that capital moves away from risk (into cash or other suitable investments) as these sectors continue to weaken. Capital will return to these sectors once the risk factor diminishes or abates. Once the S&P fell below the 2915 level, a number of Sell Programs generated extensive downside pressure on the markets – in a way, creating a “wash-out low” price rotation fairly early in this move. Investors and capital will return into these sectors over time as they find support and … Continue reading