Best Precious Metals Investment And Trades For 2019

March 17, 2019 Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd.   It’s been years since the gold and silver topped out in 2011. We have been waiting for a new bottom form and a new bull market to emerge for nearly 8 years. In this article, I’m going to compare palladium, gold, platinum, and silver and show you which of these precious metals I feel is the best long-term investment and also the best trade for 2019. The analysis presented below is based on technical analysis using previous significant highs, and Fibonacci extensions. Both of these techniques work exceptionally well for predicting price targets both to the upside and also price corrections to the downside. If you have never used Fibonacci retracement or extensions in your trading I highly recommend learning more about them. I have no doubt it will improve your market price projection targets for your investments. I have found this technique to be the number one best trading tool for projecting future price movements in all asset classes. The charts below will show to price forecasts for each metal. The first price target is based on the previous significant high that price made between 2000 and the current timeframe. Previous significant highs are typically the first target for the price to reach and that is also our first major upside target for these metals. The second price target I use is based on Fibonacci extensions using stand out lows formed anywhere between 2002 to the current price time and … Continue reading

Countdown to the Precious Metals Breakout Rally

COUNTDOWN TO THE PRECIOUS METALS BREAKOUT RALLY March 14, 2019 If you have been following our research over the past few months, you already know that we’ve called just about every major move in Gold over the past 14+ months.  Recently, we called for Gold to rally to  $1300 area, establish a minor peak, stall and retrace back to setup a momentum base pattern.  We predicted this move to take place back in January 2019 – nearly 30+ days before it happened. Now, we are publishing this research post to alert you that we are about 15~30 days away from the momentum base setup in Gold which will likely mirror in Silver.  Thus, we have about 20+ days to look for and target entry opportunities in both Gold and Silver before this momentum bottom/base sets up. This Monthly Gold chart, below, shows you the historic peaks that make up a current resistance level near 1370.  This level is critical in understanding how the momentum base and following breakout will occur.  This resistance level must be broken before the upside rally can continue above $1400, then $1500.  Ultimately, the momentum base we are expecting for form before April 21 is the “last base” to setup before a much bigger upside price move takes place.  In other words, pay attention over the next 30 days before this move happens.   This next Monthly Silver chart is the real gem of the precious metals world.  The upside potential for Silver is actually much … Continue reading

This Stock Market Pop Could Fizzle Fast

  Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd. The US stock market opened today with mixed opening prices.  The crash of the Ethiopian Boeing passenger jet prompted selling in the Blue Chips, particularly in Boeing (BA).  As of right now, the US stock markets have recovered quite well and have pushed higher by mid-day. We believe this upward rotation may be short-lived and want to highlight the two Engulfing Bearish candlestick patterns that have formed recently.  The first, near the October 2018 highs, prompted a very deep price correction that ended on December 24, 2018.  The more recent, completed just on March 8, 2019, is setting up resistance just above recent highs ($175.95) and is still a very valid sell signal for the QQQ.  Unless the price is able to breach the $175.95 level over the next few weeks, this Engulfing Bearish candlestick pattern is technically the key pattern driving future expectations for the price. Our February 17th research, “Get Ready For A Breakout Pattern Setup”, highlighted our expectations that the US Stock market would set up a larger Pennant formation with downward rotation near current levels.  This setup has, historically, been prominent in the markets and has setup larger upside breakout moves in the past.  We still believe this pattern is setting up and that downside price MUST take place before any new upside momentum breakout can begin to unfold. Our belief is that today’s upside price move will falter throughout this week and prices will continue to decrease as the price … Continue reading

CHINESE ECONOMIC DATA SHAKES THE GLOBAL EQUITIES MARKETS

March 10, 2019 Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders       March 10, 2019 March 8th, 2019 may gain some level of infamy over the next few decades.  There were two big numbers released on this day, the current Chinese economic data and the US Jobs data for February 2019.  Both numbers fell drastically lower than analysts expected and the global stock markets dropped in pre-market trading by more than 1%.  Yet, something very interesting transpired through the trading day – a recovery rally. The Chinese economic data was particularly devastating.  It leads our researchers to ask a very critical question, “is this going to be an orderly contraction or is this contraction going to extend into more chaos?”  Our research team believes the economic contraction in China will extend out into much of Asia and nations participating in the Belt Road Initiative (BRI) over the next 3~6+ months.  We believe a natural progression of “protectionist processes” will begin to take place throughout many of these nations as the money spigot from China dries up.  We believe this credit contraction and economic downturn will result in an extended repositioning of priorities, assets, and valuations throughout most of SE Asia and India.  It could extend into certain areas in Europe and Arabic nations. (Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.)   The economic data released by China points to a very real and excessive economic contraction.  YoY Exports reported as -16.6% vs. expected +6.6%.  YoY imports reported at -0.3% vs. +6.2%.  Trade Balance reported as … Continue reading

Part II – What Commodities and Transportation Are Telling Us

        March 6, 2019 In Part I of this report we talked about and showed you what commodities and transports where doing in relation to each other. Here in Part II, we show you in detail what we expect to take place. This final chart highlights our Custom Smart Cash Index (in BLUE) as well as the CBOE Commodity Index pricing levels (in RED).  This data goes all the way back to 2012 and highlights a number of key pricing rotations.  First, we can see that Commodities have been decreasing in total value from 2012 till mid-2017.  We can also identify a key support level that was established in the Commodities Index near the beginning of 2016 – coinciding just a month or so before the bottom in the Smart Cash Index. We believe this Key Bottom in both the Commodities Index and the Smart Cash Index reflect a dramatic pricing shift that took place at that point in time.  Although Commodities have yet to rally beyond upper high ranges, we can see the Smart Cash Index rallied to incredible new all-time highs.  The rally that started near the end of 2016 in the Smart Cash Index was likely the result of a “Capital Shift” that we have discussed extensively in the past.  With commodity prices staying historically low and an increase in economic optimism, capital shifted away from “commodity-based sectors” and into “technology and biotech sectors”.  Now, it appears this rally has run its course and a new … Continue reading

Market Forecasting You Just Can’t Beat!!

February 28, 2019 Chris Vermeulen walks you through the financial markets every morning before the opening bell so you know how to trade it and manage your positions. WEALTH BUILDING TRADING NEWSLETTER MOST RECENT CLOSED TRADES: SUBSCRIBE TODAY AND BECOME A TECHNICAL TRADER WITH US! CLICK HERE  

Get Ready For The Next Big Upside Leg In Metals And Miners

February 1, 2019 We recently closed our GDXJ trade for a 10.5% total profit with our members.  We are preparing for a lower price rotation over the next 45+ days that will allow us to plan for new long.  Our research indicates the metals/miners should enter a downside price rotation over the next 45+ days as the US stock markets continue to rally.  Give this expectation, it is important to understand how we are timing this move for our members and attempting to take advantage of strategic trade deployment. With Gold recently breaking above $1300, many analysts have been calling for a continued breakout move to the upside as well as a massive market correction in the US stock market.  We’ve been calling for just the opposite to happen – a pause in the metals/miners near this $1300~1320 level. If our analysis is correct, a renewed capital shift will continue to unfold over the next 30~45 days where foreign capital will move into the US stock market (including technology, financial, medical/biotech, blue chips, mid-caps, and others) as global investors chase the safety and returns of the US Dollar and the US stock market.  This process of deploying capital into the US stock market will relieve upside pressure in the metals/miners for a brief period of time – resulting in a price pullback.  Our expectations are that the GDXJ price will rotate back below $31 and likely target a support level near $30.50~30.65.  This is near where we intend to look … Continue reading

This Weeks First Trade Setup

January 15, 2019 It’s hard not to get excited when we kick start the week with a winning trade within the first 2 hours of trading. Our proprietary price spike trading strategy that has generated 6 winning trades before the opening bell for the last 6 days in a row.   Also, what is really exciting is that we have had 5 winning Gap Window Trades in the past 6 days as well. that’s 11 winning trades in 6 days and no losing trades! RECENT MEMBER COMMENT These daily emails have helped immensely. This is the best and most practical service I’ve used in the 6 years I’ve been trading. Thanks, Ben Jan 14th 2019   Housekeeping Notes: Please note we are in the process of upgrading this trading newsletter to become a full trading suite for long-term investors, swing traders, and day traders complete with our live updating trading charts, analysis, and signals.  The trades in our portfolio only represent ETF swing trades and not our price spike, gap window, or cycles based trade setups, but all trades will start to be posted and tracked in their own areas of the site once we complete these upgrades for you. Over the next 30-60 days, there will be incredible value added to the service which you will not find anywhere else. The analysis, tools, and trade setups will improve the way you see the markets and trade no matter what time frame your focus is on (investor or active trader). Exciting stuff and … Continue reading

Are Global Stock Markets About To Rally 10 Percent?

ARE GLOBAL STOCK MARKETS ABOUT TO RALLY 10 PERCENT? January 14, 2019 Technical Traders Ltd. is issuing new analysis which indicates the US and global markets may be poised for a dramatic upside price swing over the next couple months.  Recent events have driven asset class values to new valuations that may change the dynamics of markets for a few months.  Prior to August/September 2018, many traders were fearful of the expectations of the US Federal Reserve, Global Trade Issues and the US Elections. Combine this with the end of the year liquidity issues and the threat of a US government shutdown over the wall funding and we have almost a perfect storm brewing for uncertainty and fear. Now, it appears, our custom global market indexes are showing signs that a bottom may have formed over the past few weeks and that the global equities markets may be poised for an upside move in the range of +10% to +20% over the next 2-4 months. “What changed over the past month?”, you might be asking?  Valuation levels have changed.  The chart below is a Weekly chart of our Custom Smart Cash index.  We use this as a measure of global equity market valuation and to determine if and when pricing levels are changing in terms of total market capitalization.  We can see from early 2018, the global markets peaked and began to move lower.  Even though the US markets pushed higher throughout this time, the total global markets continued to … Continue reading

Silver Starts A Breakout Move Higher

SILVER STARTS A BREAKOUT MOVE HIGHER December 31, 2018 Watch Silver, folks. This quiet shiny metal is starting a move that could be very foretelling of global market concerns and risks. Early on December 26, 2018, Silver broke through recent resistance, to the upside, with a relatively large 2.8%+ upside move. Why is this so important to traders? Because Silver is the “sleeper metal” that is typically the last to react to global economic concerns. Once Silver starts to move to the upside with a renewed bullish trend, we believe this move would indicate that bigger players are starting to accumulate Silver as a safe haven for future economic concerns/crisis events. This Daily chart of Silver shows the December 26 upside breakout move. We can clearly see the breakout above $15.00 and the historical resistance just below $15.00. This move is extremely important in the context of the total risk play that has recently played out through the past two months. Take a look as how quiet the Silver market has been over the past few months. Take a look at how Silver reacted only moderately to the recent market selloff and Fed statements. There was no real “fear” exhibited in the metals markets or in Silver over the past 60+ days. Yet, today, there is some real fear that is playing out in the price of Silver. This next Weekly Silver chart helps us to understand the total scope of this move and what we could expect to see … Continue reading